Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 61.898952 70.300474 78.910569 88.360339 98.407597 108.740834 120.141319
2025-12-07 49.781157 61.875855 74.848795 89.659343 105.969463 123.266195 142.882677
2025-12-14 41.261439 55.166811 70.622372 88.786457 109.287064 131.478215 157.095875
2025-12-21 34.133940 49.069756 66.250352 86.986158 110.901062 137.244118 168.104657
2025-12-28 31.227284 47.498265 66.707901 90.345007 118.023605 148.879088 185.383196
2026-01-04 28.048467 45.215586 66.020098 92.103920 123.089014 158.014224 199.704231
2026-01-11 24.270765 41.788348 63.639519 91.587364 125.283778 163.693193 209.953471
2026-01-18 21.034217 38.741761 61.474652 91.111511 127.343399 169.068570 219.728201
2026-01-25 18.621317 36.568912 60.232002 91.612698 130.442701 175.553870 230.697634
2026-02-01 16.042980 33.902277 58.156775 90.915904 131.967402 180.091941 239.326578
2026-02-08 13.992500 31.792874 56.664645 90.831268 134.138634 185.316851 248.693155
2026-02-15 11.890795 29.373270 54.589277 89.865699 135.120067 189.045044 256.238093
2026-02-22 10.667059 28.243831 54.252352 91.156137 138.932576 196.218368 267.928389
2026-03-01 9.627860 27.308315 54.123343 92.678590 143.013738 203.709711 280.004168
2026-03-08 8.053335 25.245093 52.237976 91.751943 143.917273 207.288357 287.375788
2026-03-15 6.461345 22.898716 49.777574 89.925284 143.578582 209.280599 292.792609
2026-03-22 6.208715 23.095789 51.141517 93.344871 149.995803 219.567997 308.180580
2026-03-29 5.634035 22.568753 51.351429 95.136117 154.286386 227.227013 320.401367
2026-04-05 4.668142 21.065572 49.950521 94.610120 155.512259 231.063971 327.981999
2026-04-12 3.828443 19.668755 48.625855 94.125602 156.744435 234.874571 335.505090
2026-04-19 3.247285 18.756622 48.026412 94.635923 159.261270 240.269211 344.942605
2026-04-26 2.565235 17.414053 46.625329 93.926423 160.113624 243.548063 351.776808
2026-05-03 2.055725 16.384429 45.683564 93.840240 161.766386 247.811396 359.800051